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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.BYD Lian Yubo: It is estimated that BYD will sell 4.25 million vehicles in the whole year. On December 13th, BYD's chief scientist Lian Yubo said: "Up to now, BYD has sold more than 10 million new energy vehicles. By the end of this month, we can probably achieve the annual sales of 4.25 million vehicles. " He also mentioned: "There are still some challenges in industrial development. For example, the overall anti-risk ability of our industrial chain needs to be improved, and there are still breakthroughs in chips, operating technologies, industrial software and nuclear materials. We still need to strengthen research and achieve complete autonomy and controllability."Brazilian President Lula is in good condition after undergoing surgery again. The medical team of Brazilian President Lula said on the 12th that Lula was in good condition and "very stable" after undergoing intracranial vascular surgery on the same day, and he is expected to be discharged on the 16th or 17th. Roberto ahmed khalil, a member of the President's medical team, said at the press conference: "The operation was very successful, which is a supplement to the surgery on the 10th." He said that Lula is awake and has eaten, and his condition is very stable. He is expected to be discharged on the 16th or 17th. (Xinhua News Agency)

Peng Qinghua met with Babacov, Vice Chairman of Russian State Duma, and Peng Qinghua, Vice Chairman of the National People's Congress Standing Committee (NPCSC), met with Babacov, Vice Chairman of Russian State Duma, in Beijing on the 13th. The two sides indicated that they will jointly implement the important consensus reached by the two heads of state, make good use of the platform of the joint working group of the Sino-Russian Parliamentary Cooperation Committee, deepen exchanges and cooperation between legislative bodies, and promote the further development of China-Russia comprehensive strategic partnership of cooperation in the new era. (Xinhua News Agency)Banks prepare for personal pension account opening. Marketing insurance companies lay out early to seize the opportunity. The year-end and year-end are the last moment of personal pension annual payment. On December 12, the personal pension system ushered in expansion. The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other five departments issued the "Notice on the Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System", saying that since December 15th, the personal pension system has been pushed from 36 pilot cities (regions) to the whole country. The reporter learned that as the "entrance" of individual pension accounts, banks are actively preparing for account opening marketing. For example, many banks have launched preferential activities for opening accounts and paying personal pensions by appointment, and activities such as reduction of funds, payment ceremony and lottery withdrawal have taken turns. As an in-depth participant in the individual pension system, insurance companies have also made positive statements and will seize the historical opportunity to participate more deeply in the construction of the third pillar of the pension system. (SSE)The exchange rate of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar fell to the lowest level since April 2020. As the US dollar strengthened for the fifth consecutive day, the Canadian dollar fell below 1.42 Canadian dollars against the US dollar for the first time since April 2020. According to informed officials, Canada is studying that if US President-elect Donald Trump fulfills his threat to impose extensive tariffs, Canada will impose export taxes on its main exports to the United States.

The US dollar index rose on the 12th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.23% that day and closed at 106.957 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0473 US dollars, lower than 1.0492 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2670, down from $1.2745 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.54 yen, down from 152.65 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8914 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8848 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4208 Canadian dollars, higher than 1.4162 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 11.0106, higher than SEK 10.9791 in the previous trading day.The dissolution of three village Town Bank was approved. According to the website of the General Administration of Financial Supervision on December 13th, Liaoning Financial Supervision Bureau agreed to the dissolution of Liaoning Dengta Village Bank Co., Ltd., Liaoning Shoushan Village Bank Co., Ltd. and Yingkou Hongcheng Village Bank Co., Ltd. three village Town Bank. Other approvals issued on the same day showed that Liaoshen Bank Co., Ltd. was approved to acquire the above-mentioned three village Town Bank to set up branches. In addition, the opening of Liaoyang Guangming Sub-branch, Yingkou Hongcheng Sub-branch and Liaoyang Shoushan Sub-branch of Liaoshen Bank Co., Ltd. was approved.Boosting consumption will be the top priority of economic work. Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand. Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%. Zhou Qingjie, a professor at the School of Economics of Beijing Technology and Business University, said in the article "Paying attention to the key role of household consumption in expanding domestic demand" that according to the internationally accepted national economic accounting system, household consumption is one of the "four pillars" in GDP, alongside domestic private total investment, government purchase, public investment and net export. From the international comparison, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP is at a relatively low level. Therefore, in the process of building a new development pattern in China, the effective practice of expanding domestic demand strategy depends more on the "internal" efforts of residents' departments, so that residents can spend money, rest assured and freely. (Securities Times)